Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 198.668355 230.092927 265.975292 310.216009 363.616724 426.397805 506.389189
2025-09-14 149.234614 186.665338 233.624993 297.694070 384.125838 498.579646 664.854555
2025-09-21 125.559603 165.538266 219.080219 297.612603 412.604902 579.334024 848.109348
2025-09-28 110.203903 151.438793 209.610498 300.109232 441.989889 664.308270 1057.227654
2025-10-05 103.083133 147.111206 212.271283 319.406050 498.737820 802.010739 1390.359668
2025-10-12 96.720476 142.646241 213.533670 335.986587 553.559510 948.614609 1786.784492
2025-10-19 87.746257 132.820454 204.763575 334.103835 575.470524 1040.680042 2106.915292
2025-10-26 82.350984 127.893800 203.044576 343.693706 619.664750 1185.694784 2594.648647
2025-11-02 76.816990 122.011388 198.807590 347.788120 653.698008 1318.203001 3106.848130
2025-11-09 72.218823 117.146870 195.628628 353.172810 691.180462 1468.024608 3730.604679
2025-11-16 67.427040 111.406676 190.121913 353.011448 716.581817 1596.501999 4356.227367
2025-11-23 63.041111 105.931304 184.433130 351.534338 738.631761 1722.902362 5041.659034
2025-11-30 59.274197 101.636147 181.290317 356.777725 782.379942 1933.724732 6195.411569
2025-12-07 53.665304 93.411973 169.669076 342.088036 775.155498 2004.465397 6906.406609
2025-12-14 50.213131 88.918247 164.915720 341.995758 805.431778 2198.673364 8284.511495
2025-12-21 47.426619 85.413596 161.724496 344.947463 844.774472 2438.746275 10106.942252
2025-12-28 46.598850 85.684082 166.452122 367.788779 946.727974 2939.702826 13854.522048
2026-01-04 45.502014 85.277379 169.644721 387.453571 1045.856714 3487.144149 18731.919832
2026-01-11 42.887438 81.451526 164.757485 385.218844 1075.926425 3779.793706 22428.633247
2026-01-18 41.424407 79.920473 164.907367 396.606113 1154.803928 4329.180220 29201.332317
2026-01-25 39.655096 77.557331 162.832436 401.471384 1213.207510 4825.444366 36746.180202
2026-02-01 38.112350 75.548377 161.367396 407.872953 1279.805688 5411.305587 46934.627520
2026-02-08 36.322354 72.828644 157.867381 407.681068 1321.941216 5902.152847 57732.346337